4. Strategic energy infrastructure investments under uncertainty: Coordinated planning for Australia’s electricity and gas systems

March 24th, 2026

Pablo Apablaza, Sleiman Mhanna, Pierluigi Mancarella - The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Strategic energy infrastructure investments under uncertainty Coordinated planning for Australia's electricity and gas systems

Strategic energy infrastructure investments under uncertainty Coordinated planning for Australia’s electricity and gas systems

  • Australia’s transition to a net-zero economy will likely require gasfired generation (GFG) to back up renewables, especially in winter through late-2030s1 (Fig. A2).
  • Southeast Australia experiences depleting gas fields, posing supply
    risks for both gas and electricity systems (Fig. B2).
  • Potentially early coal plant retirements and delays in the
    deployment of new energy infrastructure can drive higher gas
    demand, exacerbating uncertainty and thus supply adequacy risks.